Will 1USD buy more than 100 Mana before the end of 2025?
Mana•Manifold Investors•Mana sold
23
147
Ṁ500
2026
95%
chance

mana circulation keep going up over time, mana inflation is real, market interest rate for mana is about 5% a month

So will 1USD buy more than 100 Mana before the end of 2025?
Resolves Yes if there is a permanent increase in official buy-in USD:mana exchange rate such that users can buy more than 100 mana with 1 USD.

*temporary mana discount does not count for the resolution. it has to be a permanent change in exchange rate.


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Quite funny that it's a clear YES but I have no interest in betting YES exactly for the same reason

bought Ṁ50 YES

I expect this to resolve Yes on 1 May!

bought Ṁ10 YES

Surely this shouldn't be lower than https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-1usd-buy-more-than-100-mana-be?r=U29uYXRhR3JlZW4

bought Ṁ10 YES

@SonataGreen there can be disinflation

@RanaG So it's like a European option rather than American?

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