And he is OUTTA THERE

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/29/george-santos-house-republicans-expect-to-expel-new-york-lawmaker-.html

Looks like the vote is going to be on Thursday 👀 https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2023/nov/29/george-santos-expulsion-vote-biden-boebert-politics-latest-updates

@Marnix Looks like the process will start Thursday but not conclude until Friday…

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-67571430

I just realized that "on december 4th" is actually way more ambiguous than I intended, so I am interpreting it as "at the start of december 4th." Sorry about that! If anyone has any issues with that, let me know, i'm not sure how others interpreted it.

@Marnix so you mean 12:00 a.m. on December 4th?

@MickBransfield Yep! Eastern time

@Marnix Turns out this didn't matter lol

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4329393-johnson-speaks-to-santos-about-his-options-amid-threatened-expulsion/

@MickBransfield “I know I’m going to get expelled when this expulsion resolution goes to the floor,” Santos said during a conversation on X Spaces on Friday night. “I’ve done the math over and over, and it doesn’t look really good.”

Well, seems like the probability of this market is almost entirely a matter of when the house will hold a floor vote.