Will Representative George Santos still be a member of the House of Representatives at the start of December 4, 2023?
140
686
1.4K
resolved Dec 1
Resolved
NO

Reports say he could be expelled as soon as this week. Will he resign? Will he be given the boot? Or will he still be there a week from now?

Edited for clarity on resolution time

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And he is OUTTA THERE

predicted NO

@Marnix Looks like the process will start Thursday but not conclude until Friday…

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-67571430

I just realized that "on december 4th" is actually way more ambiguous than I intended, so I am interpreting it as "at the start of december 4th." Sorry about that! If anyone has any issues with that, let me know, i'm not sure how others interpreted it.

predicted NO

@Marnix so you mean 12:00 a.m. on December 4th?

@MickBransfield Yep! Eastern time

predicted NO

@Marnix Turns out this didn't matter lol

@MickBransfield “I know I’m going to get expelled when this expulsion resolution goes to the floor,” Santos said during a conversation on X Spaces on Friday night. “I’ve done the math over and over, and it doesn’t look really good.”

Well, seems like the probability of this market is almost entirely a matter of when the house will hold a floor vote.

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