Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
1.2k
25kṀ2.8m
9999
17%
Elon Musk
14%
Other
13%
Bill Gates
9%
Barack Obama
9%
Jeff Bezos
8%
Mr. Beast
5%
Robert Caro
2%
Sam Altman
2%
Ilya Sutskever
1.8%
Donald Trump
1.6%
JD Vance
1.4%
Jensen Huang
1.1%
roon

https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400

This market is specifically on whom the above tweet is referring to, regardless of whether the interview occurs.

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I think @mods should NA this market

@PoliticalEconomyPK I had seen this market out of the corner of my eye here and there but had no idea what was going on in here. this is hilarious.

also

I'm sorry to say you're all doomed, it's been decided

@AndrewHebb thats the only logical answer

@Stralor we dont need an AI super computer from 9998 to come up with the right solution for this market. Its very easy, Axe it 🪓 and put it out of its misery

@PoliticalEconomyPK no. The people who know Dwarkesh should just grow some balls and ask him. It’s that simple.

@BoltonBailey that’s where growing balls becomes important. You ask again.

Anyway it’s Caro. We should resolve to this or kill the market or grow balls and kindly ask Dwarkesh again if it’d be okay to say.

https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1919478551386194162

If you already asked and were told no, then to ask again just seems rude. Probably the person or Dwarkesh decided they didn't want to have a public connection and it's not clear why that would have changed. I personally don't want Manifold to be the platform that sends people to pester public figures about details they'd rather have remain private.

@BoltonBailey fair enough then I guess the person who knows and was told not to say should take it upon themselves to make it resolve NA.

@MachiNi Why not just wait?

@AndrewHebb wait for who exactly?

@PoliticalEconomyPK For Dwarkesh Patel to have the guest on or to give permission to say who it was.

please end this

The fact that this market has still has more daily volume than any market I've ever created says something about manifold. I'm not sure what it says, but it's definitely something.

@DylanBowman How does this resolve if Dwarkesh Patel dies before the interviewee is revealed?

@Vesperstelo of old age?

Can someone, please, put this market out of its misery?

bought Ṁ40 YES

Someone should ask him if it's his most recent guest - Richard Sutton

@Lorenzo it was God all along!

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