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Vox has declared the GOP the winner of the House of Representatives: https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/23439492/midterm-elections-2022-results-house-majority-republicans

These markets are likely to resolve the same.

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It’s not clear whether this market is checking for “Democrats lose control of both the House and Senate” or “Democrats lose control of the House OR Senate”.

@Kronopath the former - losing control of both.

Well, that's by far the best interpretation in my mind since the title is "lose their majorities" plural. The vox article isn't very clear about it, I agree, but I think that's what they meant too.

32% on 538 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/

@MattP Yes and no. There's inevitably variations in exact resolution criteria that can sometimes prevent them from being direct arbitrage - but there's also reputational mechanics to consider. If you're a well-regarded market creator, your market is likely to attract more interest from those who want a fair resolution, even if yours wasn't the first market on the subject.