Will Democrats regain a House majority between elections?
11
1kṀ50202027
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, at any point during the 1st session of the 119th Congress (noon 1/3/25 to noon 1/3/27), a plurality of sitting members in the US House of Representatives caucus with the Democratic Party, AND the Speaker of the House is a member of the Democratic Party.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
29% chance
Will the Democrats control the House at any time before August 2025?
1% chance
Will Democrats retake the House *before* the 120th Congress?
11% chance
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
56% chance
Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
90% chance
If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
22% chance
Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026?
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
28% chance
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
16% chance