This market resolves to YES if, in the 2022 midterm elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, members of the Democratic party win a strict majority of seats. If I decide that the number of seats won by Democrats is ambiguous as of the resolution date, the market resolves to N/A.
Close date updated to 2022-11-09 11:59 pm
Close date updated to 2022-12-31 1:59 am
1,000
3.00Called by most major outlets at this point, e.g. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-63629003
https://nitter.net/Redistrict/status/1592320229107175424#m
> I’ve seen enough: Juan Ciscomani (R) defeats Kirsten Engel (D) in #AZ06. Dems’ path to the House majority virtually non-existent now.
am interested if anyone has other good ways to track results as they (still) come in - beyond looking at other prediction markets, https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/10/us/elections/results-house-seats-elections-congress.html is the best thing I've found
@AndyMartin see also Dave Wasserman's twitter, most recently https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1591972832820531202.