China Top: Chinese lab #1 on ECI before 2028?
3
Ṁ1kṀ6502028
12%
chance
1H
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1D
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Codename: CNTOP
Resolves YES if a model from an AI developer headquartered in China, including Hong Kong or Macau, was released before January 1, 2028 and holds the #1 general Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score at any moment.
Even briefly holding first place counts. Epoch’s displayed central general-ECI estimates control; confidence bounds and domain-specific scores do not.
The qualifying score must appear by April 30, 2028. If Epoch disappears, MNX will use the closest credible successor ranking.
Keep an eye on mnx.fi 👀
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