SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028?
5
Ṁ1kṀ2152028
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Codename: SSITOP
Resolves YES if a model produced by Safe Superintelligence (SSI), released before January 1, 2028, holds the #1 general Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score at any moment.
Even briefly holding first place counts. Epoch’s displayed central general-ECI estimates control; confidence bounds and domain-specific scores do not.
The qualifying score must appear by April 30, 2028. If Epoch disappears, MNX will use the closest credible successor ranking.
Keep an eye on mnx.fi 👀
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Which lab will have the #1 model on Epoch AI's Capabilities Index (ECI) on November 6, 2026?
Will any AI model score 60+ on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index by November 20, 2026?
58% chance
China Top: Chinese lab #1 on ECI before 2028?
14% chance
Will the term Super Intelligence replace Artificial intelligence before EOY
2% chance
Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?
47% chance
Leap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?
11% chance
Will xAI be #1 on Artificial Analysis Index by EOY 2026?
9% chance
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
34% chance
What grade will Anthropic get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?