Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028?
26
Ṁ6kṀ2.9k2028
28%
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Codename: TAKEOFF
Resolves YES if any AI model publicly released before January 1, 2028 receives an official general Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score of 200 or higher.
The model must be released before the deadline, but Epoch may score it afterward. The central general-ECI value in Epoch’s canonical score file controls—not confidence bounds or domain-specific scores.
If Epoch changes its scale or stops publishing useful scores, MNX will use its published conversion or the closest credible reconstruction of the same threshold.
Keep an eye on mnx.fi 👀
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Market was designed such that only a significant acceleration on AI capabilities will lead to a YES settlement.
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