Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
29
Ṁ10kṀ15kDec 31
34%
OpenAI
30%
Google
22%
Anthropic
5%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
2%
2%
Alibaba
2%
Meta
Which organization will have the highest scoring AI model on the Epoch Capabilities Index at the end of 2026?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
May 2026 AI model releases
ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score
163.9
Which company has the best AI model end of June 2026? (LMArena)
Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]
44% chance
What AI model is best?
Weights in largest open-weight AI model before July 2026?
Will any AI model score above 95% on ARC-AGI-2 by end of 2026?
72% chance
What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
Will any AI model achieve 4k on CodeForces by EOY?
62% chance
[ACX 2026] Will an AI model reach a 3 hour time horizon with 80% reliability during 2026?
80% chance