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MANIFOLD
Will a Google Deepmind model be ranked in the top 3 models at the end of 2026?
4
Ṁ1kṀ810
Dec 31
32%
chance

Will resolve yes any Google Deepmind model is ranked in the top 3 on the Epoch Capabilities Index. This will be assessed on the day that Deepmind's final model release of 2026 is added to the benchmark, including if that date is in 2027. Resolves no otherwise.

A model is considered released if it is available via the API, the Gemini app, the Gemini website or any other publicly available means.

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