🏅 Top traders

The results are in!
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uk48L6j28iiAyvPKJ/voting-results-for-the-2024-review

@mods @LessWrong what's the process for resolving all the 2024 markets? Do yall need a list of the winning markets to make it easier?

@prismatic that would certainly be easier. although i was hoping that the user behind the lesswrong bot would be willing to resolve those markets given time

@Ziddletwix yeah, I also have a lot of margin loans I'd like to resolve soon so if nothing happens to the markets by the weekend, I'll send the mods the list

@Ziddletwix @mods @LessWrong
part 1:
Top 50 posts that resolve YES:

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-arithmetic-is-an-underrated-wo

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-on-not-pulling-the-ladder-up-b

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-the-standard-analogy-make-the

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-the-online-sports-gambling-exp

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-0-cast-corrigibility-as-singul

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-transformers-represent-belief

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-the-field-of-ai-alignment-a-po

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-circular-reasoning-make-the-to

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-there-is-way-too-much-serendip-2f4c365372a2

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-simple-versus-short-higherorde

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-optimistic-assumptions-longter

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-the-checklist-what-succeeding

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-toward-a-broader-definition-of

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-i-got-dysentery-so-you-dont-ha

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-hierarchical-agency-a-missing

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-the-summoned-heroines-predicti

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-catching-ais-redhanded-make-th

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-universal-basic-income-and-pov

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-and-all-the-shoggoths-merely-p

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-gradient-routing-masking-gradi

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-a-threelayer-model-of-llm-psyc

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-pay-risk-evaluators-in-cash-no

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-on-green-make-the-top-fifty-po

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-believing-in-make-the-top-fift

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-the-hostile-telepaths-problem

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-reliable-sources-the-story-of

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-alignment-faking-in-large-lang

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-overview-of-strong-human-intel

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-without-fundamental-advances-m-75a00063a522

part 2:

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-the-case-for-ensuring-that-pow

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-deep-atheism-and-ai-risk-make

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-the-impossible-problem-of-due

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-would-catching-your-ais-trying

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-gentleness-and-the-artificial

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-how-could-i-have-thought-that

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-truthseeking-is-the-ground-in

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-neutrality-make-the-top-fifty

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-safety-isnt-safety-without-a-s

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-superbabies-putting-the-pieces

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-repeal-the-jones-act-of-1920-m

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-what-goes-without-saying-make

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-an-even-deeper-atheism-make-th

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-empiricism-as-antiepistemology

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-on-attunement-make-the-top-fif

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-ayn-rands-model-of-living-mone

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-review-planecrash-make-the-top

https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-alignment-faking-frame-is-some

Top 50 posts I couldn’t find markets for:

shortest goddamn bayes guide ever

Thresholding

Otherness and control in the age of AGI

[Intuitive self-models] 1. Preliminaries

The rest of the 2024 markets all resolve NO

@prismatic Thank you very much for the well organized lists, and for the patience while I eventually worked through them all. I think I've resolved all the 2024 review markets; if I missed any please tag mods for them.

@EvanDaniel We have a few more, all of which should be NO
- https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-when-is-a-mind-me-make-the-top
- https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-tips-for-empirical-alignment-r
- https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-cfar-takeaways-andrew-critch-m
- https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-scale-was-all-we-needed-at-fir
- https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-steering-llama2-with-contrasti