Will "CFAR Takeaways: Andrew Critch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
6
66
130
2026
31%
chance

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.

This market will resolve to 100% if the post CFAR Takeaways: Andrew Critch is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.

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The list of skill feels pretty significant, and would be the reason why the post becomes impactful. However, if they are significant, I expect another post detailing precisely this list to be released and that this would be the post which would actually get in the top fifty.

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