
Will "Scale Was All We Needed, At First" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
4
130Ṁ45resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Scale Was All We Needed, At First is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ3 | |
2 | Ṁ1 | |
3 | Ṁ1 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will ""Can AI Scaling Continue Through 2030?", Epoc..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Scaling and evaluating sparse autoencoders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Standard Analogy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "On Not Pulling The Ladder Up Behind You" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Two easy things that maybe Just Work to impro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "The Pareto Best and the Curse of Doom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance
Will "The Leopold Model: Analysis and Reactions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance