As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Gentleness and the artificial Other is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
People are also trading
@mods here is a list of markets that shouldn't be resolved:
Will "Scale Was All We Needed, At First" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | Manifold
https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-scale-was-all-we-needed-at-fir
Will "When is a mind me?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | Manifold
https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-when-is-a-mind-me-make-the-top
Will "CFAR Takeaways: Andrew Critch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | Manifold
https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-cfar-takeaways-andrew-critch-m
Will "Gentleness and the artificial Other" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | Manifold
https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-gentleness-and-the-artificial
Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | Manifold
https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-deep-atheism-and-ai-risk-make
Will "Ayn Rand’s model of “living money”; and an up..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | Manifold
https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-ayn-rands-model-of-living-mone
Will "Steering Llama-2 with contrastive activation ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | Manifold
https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-steering-llama2-with-contrasti
Will "Tips for Empirical Alignment Research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | Manifold
https://manifold.markets/LessWrong/will-tips-for-empirical-alignment-r
@LessWrong i unresolved those linked. lmk if i missed any. you would need to extend the close dates if there should be continued trading