MANIFOLD
Israeli Politics 2026 Prop Bets [add your predictions]
4
Ṁ1.1kṀ1.1k
Dec 31
87%
Elections held before October 27th
65%
Likud is the biggest party after next elections
61%
Parliament dissolves before budget deadline (end of March)
61%
New PM other than Netanyahu
46%
Opposition block (ex. Arab parties) wins a majority in the next elections
26%
Opposition block forms a minority coalition with external support of Arab block
25%
Budget law is passed before deadline (end of March)
19%
Bennet’s new party is the biggest party after the next elections

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