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MANIFOLD
The Game Awards 2026 Prop Bets [Add Answers!]
86%
A Muppet appears
75%
Someone says "AI", "artificial intelligence", or "ChatGPT" (trailers count)
75%
Someone says "fuck" or derivatives (trailers count)
65%
Someone uses a Japanese honorific while speaking English
59%
Anyone speaks a full sentence in any language other than English or Japanese (excluding trailers)
55%
A new Nintendo Switch or Nintendo Switch 2 exclusive game is announced
50%
A Muppet insults Geoff
50%
The show is better than average (judged by Manifold poll)
45%
A Nintendo (NCL) or Nintendo of America employee appears in-person
45%
A winner keeps talking for 15+ seconds after their end music starts
35%
Geoff Keighly is wearing a tie
25%
Someone references the "please wrap it up" incident
7%
Technical difficulties stall show or break livestream for >30 seconds

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