Resolution criteria

Each option resolves independently to YES or NO based on events starting from today (30th May) through to the end of the year.

• The leader of a country will die: Resolves YES if a head of state or head of government (e.g., President, Prime Minister, Ruling Monarch, Supreme Leader) of a sovereign nation dies while in office during 2026.

• A figure in the Epstein files is prosecuted for wrongdoing: Resolves YES if any individual named in the official documents released is formally arrested, indicted, or criminally charged in connection with the files.

• A president will be assassinated: Resolves YES if a serving president of any sovereign nation is killed in a violent, politically motivated attack.

• There is a trial at the ICC: Resolves YES if a criminal trial formally begins proceedings in the International Criminal Court during 2026.

• NATO invokes Article 5: Resolves YES if the North Atlantic Council formally invokes Article 5.

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