Which party will win the 2028 presidential election?
Resolves to whoever is inaugurated. Later resignations or vacancies are irrelevant to this market.
If an independent or other party wins, or no election is held, resolves N/A.
Will prediction markets be legal in 2030?
Resolves on close date.
Prediction markets must be legal in a majority of states. A fully regulated (by state or federally) prediction market or other exchange must offer all the following markets on any date in 2030 for a length of one month (or until resolved) or more for this market to resolve YES:
Senate control after 2030
Any market on the outcome of a Supreme Court case.
Any market on the Fed rate decision.
Who will win Best Picture at the Oscars?
The prediction market must allow users to place maker and taker orders. Sportsbook-style exchanges will not count. Notably, sports, mention, war markets are irrelevant.