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MANIFOLD
Share of world population living in autocracies in V-Dem's 2040 report?
0
Ṁ500
2027
47.5 %
expected
50%
Above 0%
50%
Above 10%
50%
Above 20%
50%
Above 30%
50%
Above 40%
50%
Above 50%
50%
Above 60%
50%
Above 70%
50%
Above 80%
50%
Above 90%

Criteria:

Resolves by "share of the world population living in autocracies" in V-Dem's Democracy Report.

Baseline

2025 baseline: V-Dem's 2026 report (covering 2025) found 74% of the world population. In 2005 the figure was 50%.

Note

If V-Dem changes its method, I'll use the figure as published, and if no report exists for this year, the latest V-Dem dataset.

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