Will Manifold create an accuracy visualization that shows when people are correct before others?
6
37
150
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

For an initial resolution criteria, resolves according to my personal judgement. I intend to tighten the resolution criteria later. Some initial guidelines about what features would resolve YES:

I expect that I will tighten towards charts/visualizations that only include trades on resolved markets, however I could be convinced that there's a way to do this on markets that are not yet resolved.

I'm probably looking for visualizations that ignore other people's trades, however I could be convinced that those visualizations are too invalid to be useful or that there's a useful way to visualize others' trades.

If people suggest tighter resolution critera and I like them, I'll make them explicit. See comments to check current status of discussions.

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Resolves according to what happens before resolution date.