Will Manifold be more accurate a month after the pivot
11
200Ṁ418resolved Jun 29
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to https://manifold.markets/calibration if you click learn more you will see an exact brier score. If a month after the pivot the brier score is lower than the day of the pivot. Unless there is a paper on manifold's calibration comparing the month before and after the pivot and I am convinced it is accurate I will resolve according to that.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!