Is Manifold the best prediction market?
22
Jun 30
Yes
No
One of the best

Answer based on the below:

  • Yes: I believe Manifold is the best prediction market.

  • No: I do not believe Manifold is the best prediction market.

  • One of the best: I consider Manifold to be among the top prediction markets, but not necessarily the best.

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Imo yes: Metaculus is not open source and it's annoying to adjust your estimates over time. And polymarket is too close to gambling addiction.

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