closes Jan 1, 2026
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must provide specific interface templates for competitions AND permit prize money or Mana to be funded directly through Manifold once the tournament is finalized.
Discussed in this feature request post.
Market closes by end of 2025.
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Related markets
Isaac King
In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will Manifold do better than all entrants?13%
Lainan Q.
Will Manifold Markets outlive PredictionBook?81%
Bolton Bailey
Will Manifold get a better Brier score than the mean answers of Blind Mode participants in the ACX 2023 prediction contest?81%
Bolton Bailey
Will Manifold get a better Brier score than the median answers of Blind Mode participants in the ACX 2023 prediction contest?78%
L
Will Manifold create an accuracy visualization that shows when people are correct before others?58%
Isaac King
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?59%
Related markets
Isaac King
In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will Manifold do better than all entrants?13%
Lainan Q.
Will Manifold Markets outlive PredictionBook?81%
Bolton Bailey
Will Manifold get a better Brier score than the mean answers of Blind Mode participants in the ACX 2023 prediction contest?81%
Bolton Bailey
Will Manifold get a better Brier score than the median answers of Blind Mode participants in the ACX 2023 prediction contest?78%
L
Will Manifold create an accuracy visualization that shows when people are correct before others?58%
Isaac King
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?59%