Will a new war start in a post-Soviet country by 2024?
62
615
Ṁ8.2KṀ1K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
New = outside current Ukraine War. War = >1000 annual battle deaths.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ222 | |
2 | Ṁ158 | |
3 | Ṁ80 | |
4 | Ṁ69 | |
5 | Ṁ57 |
Sort by:
@Nostradamnedus In the resolution criteria it says New=Outside Ukraine, but I hear you, it’s a long-standing conflict. What if the conflict is between Ukraine and Transnistria or Belarus?
@BTE Actually, I don't Armenia-Azerbaijan reached 1000 battle deaths since the question was asked, otherwise would count. Same for any other conflict outside Ukraine (so Belarus or Transnistria joining the war would not count as a new one.) I did edit the description to specific "Ukraine War" instead of "Ukraine", in case there is peace and then a new war involving Ukraine starts.
Related questions
Will the Russia/Ukraine conflict conclusively end in 2024 ?
11% chance
Will the Ukrainian-Russian war be considered out of a "stalemate" between now and the end of 2024?
55% chance
Will a new major war break out in 2024?
8% chance
Will the Israel/Hamas conflict conclusively end in 2024 ?
27% chance
Will the Ukraine war end by 2025?
21% chance
Will the USA get involved in a world war during 2024?
12% chance
Will Russia open new front in 2024?
26% chance
Will the Russian Ukraine war ends before 2025?
15% chance
Will Russia launch a military attack against a NATO member by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Russia have a civil war by the end of 2024?
18% chance