Will Russia launch a military attack against a NATO member by the end of 2024?
11
66
Ṁ820Ṁ250
2025
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Russia launched a multifocal military attack on Ukraine on February 24th, 2022. The scale of the combat, as well as Russian rhetoric, leaves the possibility of additional military actions in the region.
If Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of a NATO member, and/or targeting facilities, vehicles or citizens of a member country of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) by December 31st, 2024, then the resolution of this market will be “Yes”. Kinetic military action excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources and includes the shooting of projectiles, troops, and military vehicles deployment inside a territory.
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