Will the Ukraine war end by 2025?
Will the Ukraine war end by 2025?
214
1.7kṀ110k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

The war will be considered to have ended if a ceasefire beginning before 2025 is not interrupted by further hostilities, even if a formal peace agreement or armistice is not signed by 2025. The war will not be considered to have ended in the case of a temporary ceasefire.

Ukraine-Russia war
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ6,568
2Ṁ1,106
3Ṁ442
4Ṁ289
5Ṁ263


Sort by:
predictedYES 1y

Russia-Ukraine war: Ukraine invites Xi Jinping to participate in peace talks, says Zelenskiy’s adviser – as it happened

Chinese president is one of Putin’s closest allies and so ‘participation will be very important’, says adviser Igor Zhovkva

  • Ukraine has invited Xi Jinping, the Chinese president, to participate in peace talks, Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s top adviser has said. Switzerland has agreed to hold the summit, which a number of world leaders will attend, but no venue or date has been set just yet.

https://amp.theguardian.com/world/live/2024/jan/26/russia-ukraine-war-live-latest-news-updates

1y

Trump will win and Ukraine will be forced to settle at terms favorable to Russia.

Unknown user avatar
Unknown user avatar
2 traders bought Ṁ360 NO 1y
bought Ṁ10 YES from 16% to 17% 11mo
predictedYES 1y

@JimAusman This is absurd. Trump will only be inaugurated after the poll ends.

1y

@expressipulsar The balance of perceived power will shift massively after Nov, though it might take a few months for the dust to settle.

bought Ṁ100 NO from 14% to 13% 1y
1y

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules