Given current geopolitical conditions and increasing hostilities around the globe where there is European Union involvement, what is the likelihood of a nuclear assault being launched against one or more countries in the EU region?
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@KP Nov 7 2023 seems the only date in the question to act as a deadline. So presumably it can be resolved now.
Wait, how does this market resolve?
Does this market resolve YES if there is a launch of a nuclear missile known to have targeted a location within Europe?
Does such a nuclear missile need to detonate at the suspected target? What if there is a launch but the missile is intercepted and destroyed before reaching its suspected target?
Does this market require the actual destruction of the entirety of the landmass commonly know as the European continent to resolve YES?
Ot something in-between?