Will a nuke be used offensively before the end of the year ?
6
100Ṁ400Dec 31
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any nuke use by any country against any other country. No matter the amount of victim or the kind so including NEMP
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
In what year will a nuclear bomb next be used offensively?
2055
Will a nuclear weapon be used in a war by the end of this decade?
18% chance
Will we see a nuclear weapon used to attack another country within the next decade?
6% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
30% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be used militarily by the end of 2033?
13% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
15% chance
Nuclear weapon used offensively before 2100?
47% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
12% chance
Will a nuke nuke a nuke by 2030?
10% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be used or tested by 2030
51% chance