First country to conduct offensive nuclear strike (before 2035)?
7
1.2kṀ21652034
18%
Pakistan
17%
Russia
11%
Iran
9%
United States
8%
North Korea
7%
Israel
7%
China
6%
India
6%
5%
Saudi Arabia
5%
France
1.3%
United Kingdom
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to the first country that conducts an offensive nuclear strike after market creation and before January 1, 2035.
Exclusions: Nuclear tests and the use of radiological dispersal devices (commonly known as "dirty bombs") are excluded from this definition and will not trigger resolution.
No Occurrence: If no offensive nuclear strike occurs before the specified date, the market will resolve as N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
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