Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the date when an uncrewed Starship Human Landing System (HLS) successfully lands on the Moon. The resolution will be determined by official announcements from NASA or SpaceX, or credible reporting from reputable news organizations. The specific date of the landing will be used to resolve the market.

Background

The Starship HLS is a lunar lander variant of SpaceX's Starship spacecraft, developed under NASA's Artemis program to transport astronauts between lunar orbit and the Moon's surface. An uncrewed demonstration mission is planned to validate the system's capabilities before crewed missions commence. As of December 2024, NASA announced delays in the Artemis program, with the uncrewed Starship HLS lunar landing test expected no earlier than 2025. (reuters.com)

Considerations

• The timeline for the uncrewed Starship HLS lunar landing is subject to change due to technical challenges, regulatory approvals, and other unforeseen factors. Traders should monitor official communications from NASA and SpaceX for the most current information.

• The success of the uncrewed landing is a critical milestone for subsequent crewed missions, and any delays or advancements in this test could impact the broader Artemis program schedule.