Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the specific quarter in which the Blue Moon Human Landing System (HLS) successfully completes an uncrewed lunar landing. If the Blue Moon HLS is officially canceled before achieving such a landing, the market will resolve to "Blue Moon HLS Cancelled." The resolution will be based on official announcements from Blue Origin or NASA, and corroborated by reputable news sources.

Background

The Blue Moon HLS is a lunar lander developed by Blue Origin, selected by NASA to transport astronauts to the Moon's surface as part of the Artemis program. An uncrewed demonstration mission is planned to precede the crewed Artemis V mission, which is scheduled for no earlier than March 2030. (en.wikipedia.org) The uncrewed test flight is expected to occur approximately one year prior to the crewed mission, around 2029. (spacenews.com)

Considerations

The development and testing schedules for space missions are subject to change due to technical challenges, funding, and policy decisions. While current plans indicate an uncrewed Blue Moon HLS landing around 2027, these timelines may be adjusted. Additionally, the success of the uncrewed landing is a prerequisite for subsequent crewed missions, making this demonstration a critical milestone for the Artemis program.