Will Scott Alexander have a baby before 2025?
29
415
470
resolved Dec 23
Resolved
YES

Live birth before 2025

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted NO

Scott, I wish you a wonderful family, fatherhood, and a happy and productive life and legacy!

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Some people are clearly in the know and/or I’m missing a huge piece of information like the nose in the middle of the face, but it’s too tempting to not buy NO at 99%. If the baby’s coming though, congratulations!🍾

predicted YES

@NicoDelon Only way this resolves yes is if somebody splits hairs about how Scott did not himself get pregnant

predicted YES

@MichaelBlume Sorry, I meant "Only way this resolves NO"

bought Ṁ30 of NO

seems like ~98% is too high, even if he's confirmed it. complications, still-born, etc.

predicted NO

@saulmunn i still endorse this comment.

predicted NO

Does Austin have inside-her information?