Will Scott Alexander (psychiatrist and writer) be arrested before 2030?
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4%
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Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or a police file, showing that Scott Siskind (Scott Alexander, psychiatrist and writer of Astral Codex Ten, previously Slate Star Codex) has been arrested by police.
Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
Question is global -- arrest in any country can count.
Any reason for the arrest can count, including minor misdemeanors. Arrests count even if the case is later dismissed, or charges are dropped.
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