Will the Texas SB4 immigration law go into effect by March 15, 2024?
13
177
625
resolved Mar 16
Resolved
NO

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/texas-immigration-law-sb4-justice-department-threatens-lawsuit/

"The Justice Department said it would file a lawsuit against SB4 if Texas did not assure federal officials by Jan. 3 that the state would refrain from enforcing the law as planned in March, according to a letter sent to Gov. Greg Abbott on Dec. 28 and obtained by CBS News. In addition to creating illegal entry crimes at the state level, the law would allow Texas judges to issue de facto deportation orders."

This market resolves to YES if Texas SB4 goes into effect by March 15, 2024.

This market resolves to NO if Texas assures federal officials that it would refrain from enforcing the law or if implementation is blocked or delayed beyond March 15 by lawsuits, court orders, or other legal measures.

Resolution will be based on information in publicly available media reporting by market close.

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Resolves "No" with SCOTUS order No. 23A814 still in effect at market close:

https://www.supremecourt.gov/orders/courtorders/031224zr_09m1.pdf

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