Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030?
Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030?
19
1kṀ4552030
61%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Federal legalization counts unless Texas is credibly moving to block it somehow in the state.
No stores or anything need to be open either, just the law is passed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will the US Federal Government legalize recreational marijuana by 2030?
68% chance
Will the state of Louisiana legalize marijuana by the end of 2030?
39% chance
Which states in the USA will legalize the recreational use of Marijuana (Cannabis) (Weed) before 2026?
Will the UK legalise marijuana by 2030?
15% chance
Will a majority of states legalize psychedelics by 2033?
18% chance
Will legal international trade in recreational cannabis happen before 2034?
76% chance
Will a US state pass legislation making Psilocybin legal for recreational use before the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will abortion be legalized in Texas by 2030 for adults?
53% chance
Will any country that has once decriminalized or legalized marijuana revert it again before 2030?
37% chance
Will Texas secede from the United States by 2030?
3% chance