Will abortion be legalized in Texas by 2030 for adults?
➕
Plus
2
Ṁ60
2030
53%
chance

Resolves as Yes if, at any point before January 1st, 2030, post-fertilization on-demand abortion for adults is legalized in Texas, regardless of the gestational limit.

"On-demand" means abortion without the need to provide a specific justification, like health risks. This legalization may occur through a state or federal law, executive order, or court decision, provided it applies statewide to all adults. It does not matter if abortion is later banned again. Additional restrictions (e.g., waiting periods, mandatory ultrasounds, counseling) do not affect the outcome. The market also resolves as Yes even if there are no operational abortion providers in Texas, as long as the legal framework allows on-demand abortion.

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