Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026?
15
Ṁ100Ṁ356Jan 15
53%
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Resolution criteria (strict):
Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31 23:59:59 ET, the U.S. President signs into law a federal statute where AI is a primary subject.
Executive orders, agency guidance, draft bills, committee approvals, or state laws do NOT count.
If no qualifying federal AI statute is signed by deadline, resolves NO.
Primary sources:
Congress.gov final bill status
White House signed legislation records
Federal Register / official agency publication where applicable
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@0xseraphim if you bet yes on this market, you might wanna also bet yes on mine: /Chimpy/will-us-congress-pass-a-law-that-su
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