Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, on or before 11:59 PM ET on February 27, 2027, the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) officially grants a petition for a writ of certiorari, grants certiorari before judgment, or otherwise agrees to review or hear oral arguments in the litigation commonly known as the "Texas DACA case" (Texas v. United States, originally filed under Southern District of Texas Docket No. 1:18-cv-00068, or its subsequent appellate proceedings, such as Fifth Circuit Case No. 23-40653).

Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

The primary source of truth for this market is the official U.S. Supreme Court Docket. Secondary confirmation can be sourced from SCOTUSblog or major legal news databases.

Background

The Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program has been locked in long-term federal litigation led by Texas and several other states. In January 2025, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit ruled that key parts of DACA are unlawful under federal immigration law, but limited the scope of its ruling to Texas and remanded the case to U.S. District Judge Andrew Hanen to figure out how to separate DACA’s deportation protections from its work permits.

Because none of the parties petitioned the Supreme Court to review that specific Fifth Circuit decision by the May 2025 deadline, the litigation returned to the district court. Following supplemental briefings submitted in late 2025, Judge Hanen is tasked with issuing a modified order. Legal experts widely anticipate that subsequent rulings from the district court and the Fifth Circuit will eventually be appealed back to the Supreme Court. This market tracks whether SCOTUS will formally step in to hear the case before the end of February 2027.

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