MANIFOLD
“Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?”
8
Ṁ175Ṁ366
2028
10%
AOC
25%
Gavin Newsom
22%
Gretchen Whitmer
26%
Mark Kelly
35%
No Democrat wins
3%
Pete Buttigieg
33%
Someone else

Resolution:

This market resolves to the Democratic nominee who wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election.

If the Democratic nominee does not win the election, the market resolves to “No Democrat wins.”

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To be clear, will the candidates that aren't nominated resolve to NO or N/A?

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