Nicolás Maduro?

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer He is certainly winning with their base

Here's how bernie can still win

Bernie has said that he won’t run and that younger candidates should run instead of him.

@Lorelai what does "real election" mean in this context? This feels like perfect fodder for heated arguments about how this should resolve.

@AlexanderTheGreater There’s been talks/concerns of national guard / ice patrolling some blue-leaning poll sites, would this count as too much interference for “a real election” to be counted as invalid?

@DonaldTrump honestly that IMO should be a separate market

@AlexanderTheGreater any of these candidates here can win the nomination and the election is "real" or not. It's orthogonal. The election not taking place at all would be a different story

@DonaldTrump nooo bro is still active

@realDonaldTrump you’re jealous

The option "someone else" needs to be N/A as there is already an other option.

Newsom 50%+

I see a few Mark Kelly fans here… maybe you want to bet on him (Or someone else) finishing top 2 in any state?

@MachiNi hail to the queen

You need to add Mark Kelly as an option.

@AlanMurphy I added it, Also Btw if you want to add someone, you can for 25 mana

related:

Related:

@PaperBoy he wasn't born in the US

@zsig oh lol didn’t know that. But that’s a great reason to vote no!

@DylanSlagh My suspicion is that she's not going to run in 2028, because she's going to try and replace Schumer when his term ends that year.

@Marnix then again, this is kind of wild. maybe she'll set her sights higher https://bsky.app/profile/aoc.bsky.social/post/3lkwlajfsbs24

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (@aoc.bsky.social)

Tonight an unbelievable **34,000 people** gathered for our Denver rally to take on billionaires and win our country back. This was the largest political gathering in Denver since Obama in 2008. Also bigger than the 2024 DNC. And the largest ever rally in Bernie’s career (and obviously, mine too).

@Marnix Honestly, at this point, I could definitely see her going for president and someone like Lander going for Schumer's seat if he doesn't go for governor in 2026. I'm fairly sure she prefers the national stage to something like NY Governor based on half-remembered past reporting.

Is the distinction between 'Democratic nominee's and 'Democrat nominee's the point of this market? I assume it's recognized that, in the U.S. political system, a "democratic nominee" refers to someone selected through any democratic process (voting by citizens or representatives), while a "Democrat nominee" specifically means the candidate chosen to represent the Democratic Party in an election. It's a subtle but very important distinction. Is this intentional? Or, is this a joke?

What's wrong with the liquidity on this market. Supposedly 1300 in liquidity subsidies but half the options move like 10% on 1 mana