Resolves to whoever is nominated as the Democratic Party's U.S. presidential candidate at the Democratic National Convention in 2028.
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@Lorelai what does "real election" mean in this context? This feels like perfect fodder for heated arguments about how this should resolve.
@AlexanderTheGreater There’s been talks/concerns of national guard / ice patrolling some blue-leaning poll sites, would this count as too much interference for “a real election” to be counted as invalid?
@AlexanderTheGreater any of these candidates here can win the nomination and the election is "real" or not. It's orthogonal. The election not taking place at all would be a different story
@DylanSlagh My suspicion is that she's not going to run in 2028, because she's going to try and replace Schumer when his term ends that year.
@Marnix then again, this is kind of wild. maybe she'll set her sights higher https://bsky.app/profile/aoc.bsky.social/post/3lkwlajfsbs24
@Marnix Honestly, at this point, I could definitely see her going for president and someone like Lander going for Schumer's seat if he doesn't go for governor in 2026. I'm fairly sure she prefers the national stage to something like NY Governor based on half-remembered past reporting.
Is the distinction between 'Democratic nominee's and 'Democrat nominee's the point of this market? I assume it's recognized that, in the U.S. political system, a "democratic nominee" refers to someone selected through any democratic process (voting by citizens or representatives), while a "Democrat nominee" specifically means the candidate chosen to represent the Democratic Party in an election. It's a subtle but very important distinction. Is this intentional? Or, is this a joke?