Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
500
21kṀ400k2028
31%
24%
JD Vance (Ohio Senator)
9%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
7%
Pete Buttigieg (Secretary of Transportation)
6%
AOC (NY Representative)
5%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
2%
Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)
2%
Marco Rubio (US SoS)
2%
Kamala Harris (Vice President)
1.8%
Donald Trump (45th President)
1.7%
Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)
1.4%
Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)
1%
Ruben Gallego (AZ Senator)
1%
Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)
Resolves 100% to the person who wins the majority of votes for US President in the Electoral College in 2028, or selected by Congress following the contingency procedure in the Twelfth Amendment.
This market may resolve prior to official certification of the electoral college votes if the election has been called by all major decision desks.
Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other". Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.
See also:
/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-be-the-two-major-party-nom
/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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