Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?
3
Ṁ1kṀ22Dec 31
30%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if a senate democrat loses a US senate primary in 2026.
To lose, they must appear on the ballot and lose the primary vote.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
90% chance
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election?
20% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
52% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
39% chance
Will any incumbent U.S. Senator lose renomination in the 2026 US senate primaries?
74% chance
How many House Democrats will lose a primary challenge in 2026?
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
25% chance