Which 2028 US Senate elections will a Democrat win?
2
Ṁ850Ṁ1682028
34%
Alabama (Incumbent - (R) Katie Britt)
50%
Alaska (Incumbent - (R) Lisa Murkowski)
50%
Arizona (Incumbent - (D) Mark Kelly)
28%
Arkansas (Incumbent - (R) John Boozman)
76%
California (Incumbent - (D) Alex Padilla)
59%
Colorado (Incumbent - (D) Michael Bennet)
62%
Connecticut (Incumbent - (D) Richard Blumenthal)
50%
Florida (Incumbent - TBD 2026 Special Election)
50%
Georgia (Incumbent - (D) Raphael Warnock)
80%
Hawaii (Incumbent - (D) Brian Schatz)
24%
Idaho (Incumbent - (R) Mike Crapo)
66%
Illinois (Incumbent - (D) Tammy Duckworth)
50%
Indiana (Incumbent - (R) Todd Young)
50%
Iowa (Incumbent - (R) Chuck Grassley)
50%
Kansas (Incumbent - (R) Jerry Moran)
50%
Kentucky (Incumbent - (R) Rand Paul)
50%
Louisiana (Incumbent - (R) John Kennedy)
50%
Maryland (Incumbent - (D) Chris Van Hollen)
50%
Missouri (Incumbent - (R) Eric Schmitt)
50%
Nevada (Incumbent - (D) Catherine Cortez Masto)
Incumbents listed are a guide only and have no effect on the answer. Market answer resolves yes if ANY Democrat wins that seat
Resolves according to the winner of the 2028 us senate election in the state listed for that answer.
This is for the regular 2028 election, if a state has a special election as well as a regular, resolves based on the regular only.
Resolves yes if the Democratic candidate on the ballot wins, or an independent who caucuses or plans to caucus with the Democrat, wins.
This market can resolve early based on projections by associated press or another trusted outlet. If an independent wins and it is unclear how they will caucus, that answer will wait to be resolved.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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