How many of these Manifold Rated Lean D House races will Democrats win?

Question

Resolves YES to the number of house races Democrats win of these 9 races:

Florida 14 - Kathy Castor vs. Mike Beltran (R)
Michigan 10 - Christina Hines vs. Michael Bouchard Jr. (R)
New York 17 - Cait Conley vs. Mike Lawler (R)
Pennsylvania 8 - Paige Cognetti vs. Rob Bresnahan (R)
Wisconsin 3 - Rebecca Cooke vs. Derrick Van Orden (R)
Michigan 7 - William Lawrence vs. Tom Barrett (R)
North Carolina 1 - Don Davis vs. Laurie Buckhout (R)
Ohio 9 - Marcy Kaptur vs. Derek Merrin (R)
Texas 35 - Johnny Garcia vs. Carlos De La Cruz (R)

As of market creation, Manifokd Markets rates these 9 races Lean Democratic.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 1 or more, followed by 2 or more and 3 or more are most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of Oct 17, 2026).

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