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MANIFOLD
Which 2026 US House race will have the smallest margin of victory?
7
Ṁ1.5kṀ1.5k
Dec 31
75%
Other
3%
Iowa 2 Lindsay James(D) v Joe Mitchell (R)
1.7%
Michigan 7 William Lawrence (D) v Tom Barrett(R)
1.7%
Michigan 10 Christina Hines (D) v Michael Bouchard Jr. (R)
1.7%
North Carolina 1 Don Davis (D) v Laurie Buckhout(R)
1.7%
North Carolina 11 Jamie Ager(D) v Jennifer Balkcom(R)
1.7%
New York 17 Cait Conley(D) v Mike Lawler (R)
1.7%
Ohio 9 Marcy Kaptur (D) v Derek Merrin (R)
1.7%
Pennsylvania 8 Paige Cognetti(D) v Rob Bresnahan Jr (R)
1.7%
Texas 35 Johnny Garcia (D) v Carlos De La Cruz (R)
1.7%
Wisconsin 3 Rebecca Cooke(D) v Derrick Van Orden (R)
1.7%
Florida 14 Kathy Castor(D)vs Mike Beltran (R)
1.7%
Florida 22 Pia Dandiya(D) v Casey Askar (R)
1.7%
Michigan 4 Sean McCann(D) v Bill Huizenga (R)
1.3%
Florida 25 Jared Moskowitz(D) v Scott Singer(R)

Resolves yes to the 2026 US House election with the smallest margin of victory, by raw vote total.

Eg. If the smallest margin in a house race is 500 votes, than the race it is in resolves yes.

More races may be added if they are considered very close. If a market not listed has the smallest vote margin, then other will resolve.

For ranked choice elections, use the deciding round margin of victory.

For elections that go to runoff, use margin in the general election on November 3.

US Politics
2026 US Congressional Elections
2026 Midterms
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You might get more participation if you show candidate vs. candidate. (My best guess.)

@Web3ICP yes good point. I’ll add them

@Web3ICP done

@Jack1 🥳

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