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MANIFOLD
Which 2026 US House race will have the smallest margin of victory?
1
Ṁ1.5kṀ300
Dec 31
51%
Other
3%
Florida 25
3%
Michigan 7
3%
Michigan 10
3%
North Carolina 1
3%
North Carolina 11
3%
New York 17
3%
Ohio 9
3%
Pennsylvania 8
3%
Texas 35
3%
Wisconsin 3
3%
Florida 14
3%
Florida 22
3%
Iowa 2
3%
Michigan 4

Resolves yes to the 2026 US House election with the smallest margin of victory, by raw vote total.

Eg. If the smallest margin in a house race is 500 votes, than the race it is in resolves yes.

More races may be added if they are considered very close. If a market not listed has the smallest vote margin, then other will resolve.

For ranked choice elections, use the deciding round margin of victory.

For elections that go to runoff, use margin in the general election on November 3.

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You might get more participation if you show candidate vs. candidate. (My best guess.)

@Web3ICP yes good point. I’ll add them