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MANIFOLD
Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?
7
Ṁ1.2kṀ3.4k
Nov 3
8%
Texas 1st District
17%
Texas 2nd District
18%
Texas 5th District
29%
Texas 9th district
15%
Texas 12th District
57%
Texas 15th District
19%
Texas 17th district
29%
Texas 23rd district
74%
Texas 28th district
87%
Texas 34th district
32%
Texas 35th district
21%
Texas 32nd District

Resolves according to if a Democrat or Democratic caucuser wins the districts general election in 2026. Resolves according to party identification/ who they caucus with.

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US Politics
Politics
Elections
U.S. Congress
2026 US Congressional Elections
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Add 32 as well? That would complete the set from /NathanScott/how-many-of-the-redrawn-texas-distr.

bought Ṁ100 NO

@EvanDaniel added

reposted

25 mana to the first 10 traders who place a comment! Comment below to receive your prize.

filled a Ṁ35 YES at 52% order

@Jack1 Done. I have no idea what news could have caused Tx-35 odds to flip (I suspect it might've just been low volume shenanigans) but I'll allow a small bet on it I guess.

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 57% order

Comment below if you want a district added. I’m just adding the ones that I think have any chance of being competitive.

opened a Ṁ500 YES at 16% order

@Houston2025 @TeapotinSagittarius @polymathematic

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