Which Texas US House Districts will a Democrat win?
1
Ṁ1.1kṀ1kNov 3
8%
Texas 1st District
14%
Texas 2nd District
20%
Texas 5th District
28%
Texas 9th district
16%
Texas 12th District
51%
Texas 15th District
20%
Texas 17th district
28%
Texas 23rd district
74%
Texas 28th district
66%
Texas 34th district
31%
Texas 35th district
Resolves according to if a Democrat or Democratic caucuser wins the districts general election in 2026. Resolves according to party identification/ who they caucus with.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
36% chance
Who will win the TX-10 Congressional District?
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
Democratic Primary Winner for Texas 18th District 2026?
Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
How many of the redrawn Texas districts will Democrats win, out of the attempted Democrat to GOP flips?
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will Democrats win Tx-28?
75% chance
Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?
49% chance