Will there be a bank run on Manifold before 2028?
34
1kṀ3063
2028
16%
chance

A "bank run" meaning that many users become concerned they won't be able to withdraw their mana and rush to do so before other people do. It is not necessary that Manifold actually runs out of USD to fulfill charity donations.

Manifold
Mana
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

When will Manifold run out of money?
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
80% chance
300M subsidy: Will there be a bank run on manifold (within 12 months of cash payouts starting)?
7% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
51% chance
Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?
27% chance
Will Manifold be subject to a DDoS attack before the end of 2025?
67% chance
Will Manifold Markets be insolvent before 2030?
15% chance
Will there be an official Manifold cryptocurrency by 2030?
15% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
67% chance
Will Manifold take down any user content due to legal threats that violate free speech principles before 2030?
34% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy