
Manifold promises to convert Mana (M$) to charitable donations at a fixed rate, working similarly to a stablecoin like Tether or TerraUSD.
This question resolves YES if I believe it is over 80% likely that the total value of the circulating supply of Mana exceeds (or has exceeded) the liquid assets held by Manifold as a company at any point before closing. Otherwise, it will resolve NO. I define the circulating supply as the sum of all Mana held by users, including the market value of all bets. Due to the subjective nature of this market, I will not bet here myself.
FYI: Manifold currently reports having about $2M (https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Finances-0f9a14a16afe4375b67e21471ce456b0), enough to give about half of Destiny.gg’s YouTube subscribers a starting balance of M$1,000.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ121 | |
2 | Ṁ28 | |
3 | Ṁ26 | |
4 | Ṁ25 | |
5 | Ṁ22 |